
A | British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is fighting for his political life but his opponents have few options for replacing him — so say two senior academics.,Calls for Johnson to go have reached fever pitch since Chris Pincher, the Conservative MP he appointed as deputy chief whip in February, was sacked for drunkenly groping two men at a posh private members' club in London.,This week it emerged that Johnson had been informed of earlier sexual assault claims against Pincher before he promoted him — leaving cabinet colleagues were embarrassed at having to defend the ever-changing official line.,Laura McAllister, professor of public policy at the Wales Governance Centre, told Sputnik nobody should take Johnson's political demise for granted.,"He survived so much in a way that few other politicians have ever managed to, particularly those in senior public office and prime minister," McAllister says. "He operates by a completely different set of rules and principles and ethics, which we would assume would be his undoing, but actually in reality he seems to have been able to ride the storm".,The academic points to Johnson's survival of the scandals around his advisor Dominic Cummings, 'Partygate', his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic before the Pincher affair. But she conceded that the spate of ministerial resignations led by Sajid Javid as health secretary and Rishi Sunak as chancellor of the exchequer were "hugely significant.","Two Cabinet members who sat in Cabinet yesterday morning had resigned without warning by the evening," the professor stresses "I think it's also fair to say that both of those individuals are thinking about their own potential bids to stand as the next leader of the Conservative Party and therefore timing is very much predicated on that.",McAllister says things have changed since the days of Margaret Thatcher, who resigned in 1990 after failing to win a leadership challenge by an overwhelming margin.,"[T]here was a much stronger Cabinet code, a ministerial code that was upheld broadly, or if it wasn't upheld, then there were consequences," she says "That's not the case now, and it seems very likely that Johnson will not resign of his own accord.","He still has a base of support, of course, even though that’s dwindling away now," she adds.,The academic also doubts that a general election would break the political deadlock.,"Whilst Labour are a few percentage points ahead, they clearly aren’t making sufficient headway to be confident of winning a majority," McAllister says. "The best they could hope for in the current polling would be a minority government and potentially having to seek coalition partners".,Those could include the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party (SNP), who would demand a repeat of the 2014 independence referendum as the price of their support. Ironically, independence for Scotland and its 59 parliamentary seats would shore up the Conservative majority in Westminster and make Labour nigh on unelectable.,"[Labour leader] Keir Starmer has already ruled out any deals with the SNP for obvious constitutional reasons, and therefore with Plaid Cymru in Wales," she points out, "So it seems unlikely that that route to power is open".,McAllister believes a new Tory leader would at least enjoy a "honeymoon period" bounce in the polls.,"And who knows, were Johnson to be defenestrated, it might be that a new leader might choose to capitalize on the honeymoon period and call an earlier election," she speculates.,Beleaguered BoJo Battles With Opposition at Weekly PM's Questions12:52 GMT,No 'Coup', But Then Who?,Mark Garnett, a politics professor at Lancaster University and author of the books "The British Prime Minister in an Age of Upheaval" and "From Anger to Apathy: The British Experience" thinks Johnson has no hope of survival. But he does not see how the party can push the PM out if he refuses to jump.,He says Javid and Sunak's resignations are "serious blows" to Johnson, but they are only "symptoms of a more general crisis of leadership".,"Johnson has been involved in too many incidents which raise questions about his personal integrity," Garnett says, with ministers told to defend the PM against allegations that turned out to be true. "In effect, they have been asked to lie in public on his behalf. Their patience has finally snapped.",But the professor does not see the near simultaneous resignations as a "coup", stressing: "The most surprising thing is that ministers have tolerated Johnson for so long".,While Sunak was seen as the favorite to succeed Johnson just six months ago "he is being held at least partly responsible for the country's economic problems and his chances of becoming prime minister are now very remote," Garnett says. "Sajid Javid's chances are greater, but Conservative members (who make the final decision) seem more attracted to the Defence Secretary, Ben Wallace, who has not resigned.",The academic believes MPs are worried that Johnson is now an "electoral liability" who could cost them their seats at the next general election. "The party has just lost two by-elections in crucial seats, and the main reason given by those who voted against them was Boris Johnson's leadership," he stresses.,But the problem of how to remove Johnson from office if he will not quit remains.,"Currently the party's rules make it impossible to hold a vote of confidence for another year," Garnett points out. "It is very likely that those rules will be changed within the next ten days". But he believes if a vote could be held now, "Johnson would certainly lose and be forced to resign".。 海南文昌8月25日电 (记者 符宇群王晓斌)25日开幕的2026文昌国际航空航天论坛上,海南省文昌市市长、文昌国际航天城管理局常务副局长曹树育透露,文昌锚定2030年形成航班化商业发射能力这一目标,将全力推进发射工位二期、测控系统、可重复使用火箭海上回收系统等关键设施加速建设,确保年底前形成能力;同时同步启动三期工位、转运道路、运输码头等谋划,为“百箭千星”任务提供高效支撑。

B | 8月25日,海南省文昌市市长、文昌国际航天城管理局常务副局长曹树育在2026文昌国际航空航天论坛作主旨报告。记者 骆云飞 摄 近期,中国长十乙火箭、朱雀三号遥二火箭分别实现海上网系回收、陆地回收,中国成为全球唯一同时掌握两种火箭回收技术的国家。曹树育认为,可重复使用运载火箭技术取得重大突破,将推动商业航天加速迈向规模化、产业化发展新阶段,文昌正迎来前所未有的发展机遇。

C | 今年以来,海南商业航天发射场已圆满完成11次发射任务,具备多型火箭常态化发射能力,商业发射能力显著增强。当前,文昌依托文昌航天发射场以及国内首个商业航天发射场,当地具备发射效率高、海上运输便捷、火箭落区安全等突出优势,已是中国大推力运载火箭发射、深空探测任务实施的重要基地。 未来五年,“百箭千星”“梦舟揽月”“长九问天”三大国家工程布局文昌,文昌服务国家航天战略的支撑作用将进一步凸显。 曹树育说,在功能层面,文昌早已跳出单一发射保障基地的定位,向着火箭总装、卫星制造、数据交易、文旅观礼多元业态并行的产业新城转型。伴随可重复使用火箭技术走向成熟,文昌在火箭回收、检测、复用等环节的区位红利将加速释放,航天产业集聚效应将持续放大。

D | 在开放合作上,海南自贸港的政策红利,为文昌开展国际商业发射服务、卫星数据跨境流动等提供独特优势。文昌将在深化国际合作中发挥更加重要作用,成为面向全球的商业航天开放合作枢纽。 曹树育表示,文昌航天产业综合实力正加速成势,聚焦火箭链、卫星链、数据链等产业,文昌靶向招引企业落地。

E | 中国运载火箭技术研究院海南新区开工建设,卫星超级工厂完成一期产线建设,即将开展首轨星装配任务,海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区揭牌,省级航天旅游平台加快搭建,文昌航天科普中心营收实现翻番,全产业链高质量发展格局加快形成。 依托海南省航天技术创新中心、海南卫星数据与应用研究中心等,文昌实现多项首次:首颗超低轨SAR卫星成功研制并发射,首单国际卫星发射服务,首个遥感卫星数据出境。文昌正以打造商业航天领域创新高地为牵引,争创国家及省级重点实验室、技术创新中心,前瞻布局关键技术攻关,推动更多“首单”“首例”落地,创新开放活力不断激发。 “商业航天是高度协同的事业,文昌愿做航天产业的‘铺路人’和‘合伙人’,与各方携手共谋发展。”曹树育向海内外市场发出诚挚邀约。 曹树育表示,欢迎星箭企业把“家”安在文昌,依托“出厂即发射、返回即复用”的产业模式,压缩火箭卫星发射周期、降低运营成本;欢迎数据企业把“平台”搭在文昌,依托海南自贸港数据安全有序流动政策和商业航天卫星数据加工贸易区,企业数据产品可从这里走向全国、走向东盟、走向世界;欢迎文旅企业把“梦”种在文昌,这里集发射场、滨海椰林、南洋文化和红色资源于一体,航天科普研学、主题旅游、文创开发等业态蓬勃发展,文旅企业在此机遇无限。 同时,文昌欢迎金融机构和产业资本把“活水”引到文昌,海南自贸港政策为境内外资本参与商业航天产业创造有利条件,航天保险、融资租赁、供应链金融等特色业态加快培育,金融与商业航天产业融合发展空间广阔。

F | “文昌将持续优化营商环境,让每一位来文昌干事创业的人都能安心工作、舒心生活,让每一家扎根文昌的企业都能放心投资、专心发展。”曹树育说。
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